How ADC Coalition Changed Ogun 2027 Power Play

By Femi Ogundele

The newly formed opposition coalition led by Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi has sparked fresh political conversations nationwide. While its eyes are set on the 2027 presidency, the ripple effects are already being felt in places like Ogun State, a South-West battleground with a politically aware population and a history of swinging influence.

In Ogun, the APC has maintained dominance since 2015, but recent internal wranglings especially the tussle over the State Assembly speakership have exposed deep cracks. The discontent within the party may become fertile ground for the new alliance, especially if it presents itself as a stable and credible alternative.

Disgruntled politicians within the APC particularly those sidelined during recent appointments or those feeling alienated by Governor Dapo Abiodun’s inner circle may see this coalition as a timely platform for political survival. For them, aligning early could mean gaining strategic advantage ahead of the 2027 realignment.

The PDP, Ogun’s former ruling party, now sees a ray of hope. With Atiku’s familiar presence and national machinery, there’s renewed effort to rebuild at the grassroots. Party leaders have begun holding quiet meetings in local government areas, hoping to ride the wave of national opposition to Tinubu’s policies and reawaken dormant structures.

Peter Obi’s inclusion brings a youth appeal that Ogun’s cities may welcome. In towns like Abeokuta, Ijebu-Ode, and Ilaro home to campuses and large youth populations — his 2023 messaging of transparency and accountability still resonates. If properly channeled, the coalition could win the hearts of politically active young people across the state.

Another opportunity lies in Ogun West’s age-long demand for power rotation. Since the state’s creation, no one from the region has governed. If the coalition throws its weight behind this cause, it could gain massive support in areas like Yewa and Ado-Odo/Ota — key zones often ignored in the state’s power politics.

Also working in the coalition’s favour is the growing economic hardship under the current administration. Rising fuel prices, weakened purchasing power, and job losses are fueling public frustration. If the alliance frames its campaign around practical solutions to these local pains, voters may be swayed.

Still, there are challenges. The coalition’s internal unity is fragile. Conflicting ambitions and unresolved questions about party structure could trickle down and affect how it’s received in states like Ogun. The electorate is observant and may not rally behind a divided house.

As the 2027 election season draws near, all eyes will be on how this coalition takes shape in Ogun. Will it be a force that breaks APC’s hold, or will it dissolve into another failed experiment? What happens next may not just affect Ogun’s future, but could also reflect the national mood come election time.

Femi Ogundele is FactualTimes Ogun State Correspondent. He writes from Abeokuta.